Local Predictions of 1999
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1. prediction: Crime Rates in Edmonton are deceiving. We are seeing a few more fatalities due to crime but two or more at first appear to be accidental or "other cause" deaths. They are not obvious criminal offenses and I would consider that the Police on site may be a bit neglectful or negligent. 1999 crime rate rises a bit but there are not as many deaths due to murder as recorded in 1998, there are however more crime related injuries recorded; I don't know if this is good or bad. (for K-Roc Dec 31/98)

comments: True, lowest murder rate in 40 years. 2 events looked like murder but weren't. Crime related injuries went up thanks to gang warfare and Whyte Ave's barroom negligence. Club Kaos closed down - thanks to police- and the Joint opens which becomes the new site of the variety show "Friday Night with Terry Evans" (with Bill Cowen).


2. prediction: The gang crime as previously predicted is increasing and again I report that it can be decreased by Communities across the city and across Canada as well (predicted: K-Roc Dec. 31,1997). This previous prediction has now been validated through an article which appeared in the Edmonton Sun Newspaper, Dec. 28, 1998. The article says that the RCMP starting a 1-800 line to confidentially assist citizens in reporting Gang Crime, this concept is aimed primarily at the Hell's Angels however it includes all form of Gang Crime Activity in the end result. In this I am very relieved as this hot-line will show good results then swing to great results after it is in place just 18 months. After just 2 months it shows very promising results that justifies it's cost and continuation.

comments: True, gang related crimes way up for this city. Aisian car drive by murder, a few drive-bys re: houses shot up, and an investigation into police force itself, including an investigation into the deaths of two young men who either fell, jumped, or were pushed off of a balcony and died during a police gang / drug bust. Native Gangs from down east moved in and war is on. The tips line afforded information that led to arrests of key Asian Gang leaders in June or July of 2000 effectively shutting down the operations - though probably only until their replacements are firmly fixed.


3. prediction: The above and other predictions already made of mine regarding budget cuts, crime rates and weather conditions are indicative that our Police Dept., Fire Dept., and Ambulance Services are under-staffed and under-equipped. The results of budget cutting and underestimation will be made painfully clear. It will then be partially rectified that is, as much as possible as budget can allow.

comments: Yes, the new budget, revealed by Kerry Diotte of the Sun shows that police are requesting 60 new staff, it is also apparent and public that we need gang specialists and city was openly criticized for not doing this a few years previous.


4. prediction: Edmonton will be held in great regard for it's security and Policing/Emergency Services Dept.'s for the Olympics. (Gee our provincial funds must have been increased finally!) This also appears in the news as we do have a problem that at first looks bad on our City but then our efficiency and compassion is reported as expemplary in which case we/our Dept.'s will be vindicated of any negligence or wrongdoing. I hope this is heard and thusly the issue is avoided.